Active · Africa
Armed conflicts in Ethiopia
Killed
Verified
at least328k–383kDocumented
As of . The published count and what it counts
Latest development · , Oromia
Gunmen killed at least 34 Ethiopian Orthodox Christians in an attack in Ethiopia's Oromia region, Anadolu reported. Local media put the toll from attacks on worshippers at at least 94 in under three weeks. The Ethiopian Human Rights Commission had attributed earlier attacks in October to the Oromo Liberation Army.
- Status
- Active
- Sustained hostilities in the current reporting period.
- Began
- 3 Nov 2020
- Ongoing
- Displaced
- 2.7M
- Estimated, as of 31 Dec 2025
- Classification
- NIAC
- Non-international armed conflicts between the state and several distinct organised armed groups, in different regions and on different timelines.
The war in Tigray, fought from November 2020 until the Pretoria cessation-of-hostilities agreement in November 2022, is one of the deadliest conflicts of the century by recorded deaths and dominates Ethiopia's total. Fighting continued afterwards in Amhara and Oromia between federal forces and other armed groups. In 2026 war returned to the north: Tigrayan forces clashed with federal troops from August, the Tigray People's Liberation Front joined an alliance with the Amhara Fano National Movement, the Oromo Liberation Army and other groups in September, and fighting spread into Afar. Federal and allied forces pushed through Tigray, entering Mekelle on 3 October after the TPLF withdrew; on 16 October Addis Ababa replaced the region's interim administration. Ethiopia accuses Eritrea, Sudan and Egypt of backing the alliance, and Eritrea of invading Tigray; each denies it. The Tigray toll rests on estimates with an extremely wide range, because independent access was severely restricted.
Recorded deaths per month
1,204 deaths recorded from Jul to Sep 2026, the latest months UCDP has coded, against 839 from Apr to Jun 2026.
Oct 2024Sep 2026
UCDP counts direct deaths in incidents it codes under its own definitions, so these months are a documented floor.
Latest developments
Oromia
Gunmen killed at least 34 Ethiopian Orthodox Christians in an attack in Ethiopia's Oromia region, Anadolu reported. Local media put the toll from attacks on worshippers at at least 94 in under three weeks. The Ethiopian Human Rights Commission had attributed earlier attacks in October to the Oromo Liberation Army.
Anadolu AgencyEthiopia ordered six Sudanese diplomatic and consular officials to leave within 48 hours and closed Sudan's consulate in Assosa, local media reported, citing diplomatic sources. Ethiopian authorities had not explained the decision.
Anadolu AgencyWuchale
Government forces recaptured Wuchale town in Amhara region from Fano rebels, privately owned Wazema Radio reported.
Anadolu AgencyBizet
Political activist Jawar Mohammed said government forces and allied fighters killed Col. Semere Teklu, commander of the TPLF's Army 92 unit, in Bizet, eastern Tigray, and captured two other TPLF commanders. The claim was not independently verified.
Anadolu AgencyAksum
Fighting broke out on Saturday near Aksum, in Naeder district, between Tigrayan fighters and federal forces with the allied Tigray Peace Forces, the Tigray People's Liberation Front said on Monday. The government has not commented, and the TPLF's account could not be independently verified, Anadolu reported.
Anadolu AgencyRama
A drone strike on the town of Rama, in Tigray, killed at least 12 civilians who were collecting grain spilled from a truck hit the night before, local authorities and hospital sources said, according to Anadolu.
Anadolu AgencyMoyale
The UN refugee agency UNHCR said more than 50,000 civilians had crossed from southern Ethiopia into Marsabit County, Kenya, up from 36,000 recorded earlier in the week, after fighting between Oromia and Somali regional forces in the border town of Moyale, according to Borkena.
BorkenaHayiq
A drone strike on the Hayiq Jari 2 Turk camp for displaced people near the town of Hayiq, in Amhara region, killed at least 16 civilians and injured 22 on Thursday, according to local media and conflict monitors cited by Anadolu. The camp houses more than 1,800 internally displaced people. The report did not say who operated the drone.
Anadolu Agency
43 earlier, back to 1 Aug 2026
IOM said around 36,600 people have fled into northern Kenya after an uptick in fighting on the Ethiopian side of the border between forces from the Somali and Oromia regions: nearly 11,000 are sheltering in a church compound and the remaining 25,600 are with host communities.
UN NewsThe Ethiopian Orthodox Church said 46 believers were killed in Sherka Woreda, Oromiya, on 24 October, after 14 on 20 October in Merti Woreda, and that more than 20 homes were burned. The church gave no details of how they died or who was responsible; the regional government and a source linked to the rebel alliance blamed each other.
Reuters via InternazionaleBenishangul-Gumuz
Ethiopia's military said on Friday its forces had killed an unspecified number of TPLF fighters and captured four others in the western Benishangul-Gumuz region, near the Sudanese border, in an operation against an armed unit known as Army 13.
Anadolu AgencyMoyale
Kenyan police said on Thursday that hundreds of Ethiopians, mostly women and children, had crossed into Kenya at Moyale, fleeing fighting between forces from Ethiopia's Oromia and Somali regional states. Ethiopian media reported that it began on Sunday as a dispute over raising the Somali Regional State flag.
Al Jazeera (AP and Reuters)Mekelle
Mekelle residents reported a drone strike that killed four people and injured six others as they loaded goats onto a truck on Tuesday, the Associated Press reported. The casualties could not be independently verified.
Al Jazeera (AP)Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed warned Eritrea in an interview with state broadcaster Ethiopian Broadcasting Corporation that the consequence of giving 'a deaf ear' to Ethiopia's calls would be 'very, very, very severe'. Abiy accused Eritrea of supporting Tigray forces; Ethiopia has accused Eritrean forces of crossing the border, which Asmara rejects.
Anadolu AgencyTigray
Tigrayan forces and federal troops clashed on 17 and 18 October near Mirena, in central Tigray, as the troops tried to advance toward Adet, Tigray People's Liberation Front official Negash Hiluf said. The Ethiopian government had not responded.
Anadolu AgencyThe Tigray People's Liberation Front said in a statement that the federally appointed caretaker administration for Tigray is a 'Prosperity structure' and that its decisions would have 'no legality or enforceability'. It warned institutions against cooperating with the new leadership.
Anadolu AgencyPrime Minister Abiy Ahmed's government announced a new interim administration for Tigray, headed by Asefa Abrahaga Hagos, to restore stability and organize elections within six months. The House of Federation approved the suspension of Tigray's previous interim administration.
Anadolu AgencyAdwa
Ethiopian government forces and an allied militia entered Adwa, roughly 40km from the border with Eritrea, on Sunday, residents told AFP, a day after TPLF fighters withdrew from the town. The TPLF vice president said he did not wish to comment.
Al Jazeera (AFP)Ethiopian Airlines resumed flights from the capital to Mekelle on Sunday, the first since 23 September. Getachew Reda, a former Tigray leader who now advises Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed, and intelligence chief Redwan Hussein were welcomed at Mekelle airport.
Al Jazeera (AFP)Adigrat
Ethiopian government forces and allied militia entered Adigrat, a Tigrayan city about 30 km from the Eritrean border, three residents told Reuters, days after Eritrean troops were pushed back from it. A video verified by Reuters showed members of a pro-government militia in its streets.
Reuters via InternazionaleIn a letter to the UN Security Council, Eritrean Foreign Minister Osman Saleh called Ethiopia's invasion accusations a 'declaration of war', asked the council to take deterrent measures under Chapter VII of the UN Charter, and said the incursion claims were part of an Ethiopian plan to justify a war of aggression.
Reuters via InternazionaleUN Secretary-General António Guterres called for an immediate end to the renewed fighting in the Tigray, Afar and Amhara regions, said he was deeply worried by reports of Eritrean forces in Ethiopia, and urged the signatories of the Pretoria Agreement to return to dialogue.
UN NewsIn a letter to UN Security Council members, Foreign Minister Gedion Timothewos said an 'all-out invasion' of parts of northern Ethiopia by Eritrea, whose forces he said had advanced up to 60 km into the country, engaged Ethiopia's right to self-defence.
Reuters via InternazionaleAdigrat
Eritrean soldiers crossed into Ethiopia and advanced dozens of kilometres into Tigray, then withdrew under heavy drone strikes near Adigrat believed to have been carried out by Ethiopia's military, the conflict monitor ACLED said. Eritrea's information minister, Yemane Gebremeskel, called reports of an incursion part of an Ethiopian plan to justify a war of aggression.
Reuters via InternazionaleKobo, Tigray
The UN said continued hostilities were displacing people across central, north-western and eastern Tigray, with no verified figures, and that in Amhara a government-led effort to help people displaced by recent insecurity return from the town of Kobo to their areas of origin had been suspended as security there deteriorated.
UN Spokesperson's daily press briefing, 6 October 2026Ermiyas Ababu, a commander in the Mekelle zone, said the federal government was conducting drone strikes in Tigray with the cooperation of 'our forces' until their state was 'free from those forces', Africanews and AP reported.
Africanews with APAdwa
Air strikes and artillery fire hit Tigray overnight into 5 October as federal and rebel forces clashed, aid sources told Reuters, which could not confirm the reports. A humanitarian bulletin said the army and TPLF fighters traded artillery fire near Mai Tsebri and air strikes killed at least nine people in Adwa, without saying who launched them.
Reuters via InternazionaleShortly after being sworn in for a third term, Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed reiterated that Ethiopia must have access to the Red Sea, a day after Egypt, Eritrea, Somalia and Sudan said at New Alamein that the sea's governance rests with coastal states. Ethiopia's foreign ministry said its geographic realities must be considered.
Associated Press via Arab NewsTigray
A UN agency warehouse and the facilities and warehouses of local and international aid groups were looted in Tigray, and food, seed, fertiliser and water pumps were lost, the UN Secretary-General's spokesperson said.
UN Spokesperson's daily press briefing, 5 October 2026Sheraro
A drone strike hit the camp for displaced people at Sheraro in western Tigray early on 4 October, killing eight people, including a child, and seriously wounding six, an aid worker told AFP. A witness said a mother, her four children and a grandson were among those killed.
AFP via Macau BusinessTwo Egyptian security officials and a political official told Reuters that the leaders of Egypt, Eritrea, Sudan and Somalia, meeting in Egypt on 4 October, agreed to coordinate military and intelligence efforts if Ethiopia's conflict escalated to its borders with Eritrea, Sudan and Somalia.
Reuters via InternazionaleMekelle
A humanitarian source and a Mekelle resident told Reuters the city was under the control of government forces, a day after the Tigray Peace Force and the federal army entered its centre.
Al Jazeera (with Reuters and AFP)Abraham Belay, former president of the Tigray Interim Administration, told state media that a new interim administration for Tigray was being prepared, with regional elections within a few months, and said Eritrean forces had fought alongside the TPLF.
Ethiopian News Agency (state media)Eritrea's information minister, Yemane Gebremeskel, said Addis Ababa was trying to create a pretext for attacking Eritrea.
Al JazeeraEgypt, Eritrea, Somalia and Sudan met in El-Alamein, Egypt, and called for regional disputes to be resolved through 'peaceful means'. Ethiopia accuses Egypt, Eritrea and Sudan of backing the TPLF-led alliance, a charge all three reject.
Arab NewsMekelle
Late on 3 October the TPLF said it had 'temporarily moved out of Mekelle' to 'operate from somewhere else'. A source close to the Tigray Peace Force told Reuters its fighters had entered the city centre that afternoon, followed by the federal army.
Al Jazeera (with Reuters and AFP)The US State Department urged Ethiopia and Eritrea to exercise maximum restraint and return to dialogue, warning that rising cross-border tensions 'have the potential to affect the entire region'.
Associated Press via WSLSMekelle
A humanitarian source told AFP that federal and allied forces had been seen across Mekelle as TPLF fighters and leaders left the city, and three sources told Reuters federal troops had retaken its airport.
AFP via France 24Mekelle
The pro-government Tigray Peace Force claimed full control of the Mekelle airport, and residents told Reuters government forces were closing on the city as civilians fled.
Al JazeeraTPLF chairman Debretsion Gebremichael acknowledged that federal forces had occupied parts of Tigray and said his forces would counter-attack 'in due course'.
Al JazeeraEthiopia closed its embassy in Asmara and declared ten Eritrean diplomats persona non grata, citing what its foreign ministry called Eritrea's acts of hostility. Eritrea cut diplomatic ties in response.
Reuters via Al-MonitorEthiopia expelled an Egyptian diplomat without giving a reason, and Egypt answered by expelling an Ethiopian diplomat.
AFP via France 24Maychew, Addis Ababa
The Tigray Peace Force said it had taken Maychew, about 75 km south of Mekelle, with the federal army, and federal forces retook the Afar town of Erebti. Explosions were heard overnight in Addis Ababa; a source linked to the opposition alliance said it had carried out drone strikes.
Reuters via Arab NewsAlamata
At least 52 civilians were killed in three days of heavy fighting around Alamata, hospital sources told the BBC; MSF said more than 700 wounded people had been admitted to hospitals it supports in Tigray.
BBCAlamata
The Tigray Peace Force, a pro-government Tigrayan force, said it had captured Alamata, about 120 km south of Mekelle.
Al JazeeraAfar
Tigrayan forces took the Afar town of Erebti after heavy artillery fire, a humanitarian source told AFP, estimating that at least 150,000 people had been displaced in Afar.
AFP via France 24Ethiopia's army chief accused Eritrea of financing the TPLF and suggested that Sudan and Egypt were supporting the rebels; Eritrea's information minister and the Sudanese army rejected the accusation.
Associated Press via WSLSRenewed fighting between federal troops and Tigrayan forces had effectively shattered the 2022 Pretoria agreement, AP reported, with the TPLF mobilising alongside former foes in a stated aim of removing the prime minister.
Associated Press via WSLSMekelle, Afar
Opposition forces seized three airports in Tigray, including Mekelle's, at the start of the fighting, after clashes with federal troops in the Afar region began the night before.
Reuters via Arab NewsA seven-group alliance including the TPLF, the Amhara Fano National Movement and the Oromo Liberation Army was announced against the federal government.
Al JazeeraTigrayan forces led by the TPLF clashed with federal troops near the Sudan border in Shererina, the start of the renewed fighting according to ACLED.
ACLED
The new developments in this war, the morning after they enter the record, by email or as a feed: Blackwing Desk.
Parties
The state party to the conflicts in Tigray, Amhara and Oromia.
Tigray People's Liberation Frontnon-state armed group
Party to the 2020-2022 Tigray war; signed the Pretoria cessation-of-hostilities agreement in November 2022, and returned to fighting federal forces in 2026, from August, in an alliance with the Amhara Fano National Movement, the Oromo Liberation Army and other groups announced in September.
Tigray Peace Forcenon-state armed group
Tigrayan armed group of former Tigray Defense Forces members, allied with the federal army against the TPLF in 2026; it claimed the capture of Alamata, Maychew and the Mekelle airport, and on 3 October, after the TPLF withdrew, it entered Mekelle and took control of the city with federal forces.
Fanonon-state armed group
Amhara regional armed movement engaged against federal forces since 2023.
Oromo Liberation Armynon-state armed group
Armed group engaged against federal forces in Oromia.
Deployed forces into northern Ethiopia during the Tigray war, on the federal government's side. In September 2026 Ethiopia accused it of backing the opposition alliance, which it denies; on 1 October 2026 it cut diplomatic ties after Ethiopia closed its embassy in Asmara. In October Ethiopia told the UN Security Council that Eritrea had invaded Tigray, after the monitor ACLED reported Eritrean troops crossing into Tigray and withdrawing under drone strikes; Eritrea denies any incursion.
Killed
Direct deaths from organised violence recorded by UCDP in 5,232 individually sourced incidents since 3 Nov 2020: a best estimate of 333,823, 14,569 of them coded as civilian. The range is UCDP's own low and high bounds per incident, summed. UCDP's count excludes indirect deaths from disease, starvation and collapsed health care, and any violence that never reached a sourceable report, so it is a documented floor rather than a total. Roughly 3,495 of these deaths come from UCDP's provisional candidate releases and may be revised. Access restrictions during the Tigray war mean the recorded total carries unusually large uncertainty, which is visible in the very wide gap between the low and high bounds. As of .
| Source | Figure | As of |
|---|---|---|
| UCDP Georeferenced Event Dataset (Uppsala University) 5,232 recorded incidents. UCDP publishes a low, best and high bound for every incident; this is the sum of each. | 328,610–382,670 (best estimate 333,823)As of |
Displaced
People forcibly displaced from Ethiopia at the end of 2025, as UNHCR counts them: 2,378,000 displaced inside the country and 312,831 refugees and asylum-seekers abroad. UNHCR does not record why each person fled, so this counts displacement by every conflict and persecution in Ethiopia, not only by the fighting this record follows, and anyone who has gone home is no longer in it. As of .
| Source | Figure | As of |
|---|---|---|
| UNHCR Refugee Data Finder UNHCR's official population statistics. Licensed CC BY 4.0. | 2,378,000 internally displaced; 312,831 refugees and asylum-seekersAs of |
Briefings
- How Many Wars Are Going On Right Now? The 2026 Count
Every published count of the world's wars side by side, from the research count that found more armed conflicts in 2025 than in any year since 1946 to legal counts past 130: what each one measures, and the wars behind the numbers.
Standing sources
- UCDP Georeferenced Event Dataset
Individually geocoded, dated and sourced incidents of organised violence worldwide, each with a low, best and high fatality bound.CC BY 4.0
- Geneva Academy War Watch
Formal international-humanitarian-law classification of each situation, and the neutral naming of the parties.
- UNHCR Refugee Data Finder
Official refugee, asylum-seeker and internally displaced population statistics.CC BY 4.0
- AFP via France 24, 'Ethiopia Tigray rebels pushed back as regional tensions spike' (2 October 2026)
The Tigray Peace Force's claim to the Mekelle airport, the expulsion of an Egyptian diplomat and Egypt's reciprocal move, ACLED's report of the Afar towns retaken, and the defence ministry and army base struck in Addis Ababa.
Other wars in the record
- Armed conflicts in NigeriaActive · Africaat least23k–37k
- Central Sahel insurgencyActive · Africaat least40k–56k
- Sudan civil warActive · Africaat least45k–125k
- Somalia insurgencyActive · Africaat least20k–25k
- Armed conflicts in the eastern Democratic Republic of the CongoActive · Africaat least32k–66k
- Russia-Ukraine warActive · Europeat least375k–645k
- Yemen civil warActive · Middle Eastat least33k–69k
- Armed conflicts in PakistanActive · Asiaat least10k–16k
- Myanmar civil warActive · Asiaat least13k–38k
- Haiti gang conflictActive · Americasat least5,915
- Armed conflicts in SyriaActive · Middle Eastat least18k–21k
- Iran-United States war of 2026Active · Middle Eastdisputed3,468–7,650
- Armed conflicts in LebanonCeasefire · Middle Eastat least9,053–9,984
- Israel and the Palestinian territoriesCeasefire · Middle Eastdisputed63k–75k
- Iran-Israel war of June 2025Concluded · Middle Eastdisputed1,090–1,218
Last verified