Active · Asia

Myanmar civil war

Killed

Verified

at least13k–38kDocumented

As of . Both published counts and what each one counts

Latest development · , Mrauk-U Township

A junta fighter jet dropped a bomb near Nankyar Village in Mrauk-U Township, Arakan State, at about 11:25 p.m. on 5 November, killing a pregnant woman and injuring 12 other civilians, according to local residents cited by Development Media Group. Several houses were damaged.

Development Media Group All 45 developments

Status
Active
Sustained hostilities in the current reporting period.
Began
1 Feb 2021
Ongoing
Displaced
5.2M
Estimated, as of 31 Dec 2025
Classification
NIAC
Non-international armed conflicts between the military government and a large number of organised armed groups, including long-standing ethnic armed organisations and post-coup resistance forces.
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The military seized power in a coup on 1 February 2021, and the crackdown on the protests that followed turned into a nationwide armed conflict. It is one of the most fragmented conflicts in the record, fought between the military, newly formed resistance forces and ethnic armed organisations that in several cases predate the coup by decades. More than half of recorded deaths are coded as civilian. Elections the military organised from December 2025, which critics and Western governments called a sham, made the coup leader Min Aung Hlaing president in April 2026. The army has since retaken ground in some border areas and opened talks with some ethnic armed organisations, while others, including the Arakan Army, fight on.

On the name
The country is called both Myanmar and Burma; UCDP records it as 'Myanmar (Burma)'. The choice of name is itself politically loaded, and Blackwing uses the form the UN uses.

Recorded deaths per month

408 deaths recorded from Jul to Sep 2026, the latest months UCDP has coded, against 405 from Apr to Jun 2026.

Deaths recorded per month, Oct 2024 to Sep 2026 (UCDP)

Oct 2024Sep 2026

UCDP counts direct deaths in incidents it codes under its own definitions, so these months are a documented floor.

Latest developments

  1. Mrauk-U Township

    A junta fighter jet dropped a bomb near Nankyar Village in Mrauk-U Township, Arakan State, at about 11:25 p.m. on 5 November, killing a pregnant woman and injuring 12 other civilians, according to local residents cited by Development Media Group. Several houses were damaged.

    Development Media Group
  2. Kyauktaw, Mrauk-U

    Myanmar Air Force airstrikes across Arakan State on 1 November killed at least 12 civilians and injured 32, the Arakan Army reported. DVB reported that one strike destroyed a bridge linking Kyauktaw and Ponnagyun townships, killing seven commuters, and four strikes hit a maternity clinic in Mrauk-U, killing five.

    DVB
  3. Hpapun Township

    Dual airstrikes by the Myanmar Air Force on 31 October hit a Karen National Union base in Hpapun Township, Karen State, the KNU said, describing them as aimed at disrupting its cross-border supply route from Thailand. Thai media reported no casualties, with blasts damaging buildings in Mae Sam Laep village on the Thai side.

    DVB
  4. Maungdaw Township

    A junta jet fighter dropped two bombs on a high school in Kyeinchaung Village, northern Maungdaw Township, shortly after 2:00 a.m. on 30 October, residents told Development Media Group. Residents reported no civilian casualties. The strike destroyed school facilities and damaged nearby homes.

    Development Media Group
  5. Sagaing Township

    More than 10,000 people from 19 villages have fled attacks by a junta column in Sagaing Township over almost 10 days, Myanmar Now reported on 29 October. Resistance forces captured Col. Zaw Myo Tint in mid-October.

    Myanmar Now
  6. Ponnagyun Township

    Junta forces deployed a column of around 1,000 troops from 28 October to advance from Amyint Kyun Village in Sittwe Township toward Kuntaung Village in Ponnagyun Township, according to local sources and military observers cited by Development Media Group. A military source said heavy clashes continued around Amyint Kyun Village on 29 October.

    Development Media Group
  7. Sittwe

    The Arakan Army attacked three junta warships near Sittwe on 26 October, sinking two and damaging a third, military sources said, according to Development Media Group. The vessels were stationed near the mouth of the Kaladan River. The sources said junta forces then launched air raids and artillery fire on Ngapyi Island.

    Burma News International (Development Media Group)
  8. Werathani Township

    A junta Y-12 aircraft dropped bombs on Thawinchaung and Awakan villages in Werathani Township shortly after 6:00 a.m. on 24 October, local sources told Development Media Group. A resident said at least five people were injured. Fierce clashes continued on Ngapyi Island in the same township.

    Development Media Group
37 earlier, back to 25 Jan 2026
  1. Ponnagyun Township

    A junta jet dropped a 500-pound bomb on Pannilar Village in Ponnagyun Township shortly after 2:00 p.m. on 23 October, killing a woman and injuring two others, including an internally displaced person, residents told Development Media Group. The strike landed in front of the local school.

    Development Media Group
  2. Sittwe

    An explosion near an intersection on Min Bar Gyi Road in Sittwe killed at least nine people and left at least five others in critical condition, DVB reported. A resident said a Myanmar Air Force fighter jet was seen over Sittwe before the blast; it remains unclear who was responsible.

    DVB
  3. Ngapyi Island

    Fierce clashes continued for a second consecutive day on Ngapyi Island near Sittwe on 22 October, with remnants of a junta amphibious assault force still trapped there, Development Media Group reported, citing local sources. An Arakan Army spokesperson said several junta troops had surrendered.

    Development Media Group
  4. Werathani Township

    Junta air attacks on urban wards and nearby villages in Werathani Township late on 20 October killed four civilians and injured four others, including a volunteer with the Pauktaw Social Assistance Association, according to local residents cited by Development Media Group.

    Development Media Group
  5. Budalin Township

    A regime gyrocopter attack killed six women, including a mother and her three daughters, in Budalin Township, Sagaing Region, on Tuesday, Myanmar Now reported.

    Myanmar Now
  6. The TNLA announced that 54 members led by Gu Si had 'severed ties' with it and that action would be taken against them, DVB reported. A source close to the military told DVB the 54, ethnic Lisu who defected to regime forces in Mogok Township, would form a pro-regime militia.

    DVB
  7. Sittwe

    Fierce fighting erupted between the military and the Arakan Army at three locations near the Regional Operations Command in Sittwe, the military's last remaining headquarters in Arakan State, Development Media Group reported. A military source said intense ground fighting continued at all three locations on the morning of 19 October.

    Development Media Group
  8. Ngapyi Island

    Over 200 troops launched an amphibious assault on Ngapyi Island near Sittwe at about 5:00 AM on 18 October, Narinjara reported through Burma News International. Local sources said the Arakan Army ambushed the landing and killed at least 50 soldiers; part of the force later gained a temporary foothold. It was the third major attempt in a month.

    Burma News International
  9. Paletwa, Pakokku

    Airstrikes killed at least 5 people near Chaung Son Village in Paletwa Township, Chin State, and 5 people in Ohn Taw village in Pakokku Township, Magway Region, on 18 October, the Assistance Association for Political Prisoners said, citing reports from the ground. The group also reported at least 10 killed on 16 October in Yesagyo Township.

    Assistance Association for Political Prisoners (AAPP)
  10. The military government extended martial law for another 90 days in 55 townships, down from 58, DVB reported, lifting the order in Ngazun in Mandalay Region and in Kyaukme and Hsipaw in Shan State. The office of commander-in-chief Ye Win Oo said normal conditions had returned in the three townships.

    DVB
  11. Min Aung Hlaing renewed his invitation to the Chin National Front, the Karen National Union and the All Burma Students' Democratic Front to join peace talks, at a ceremony in Naypyitaw marking the Nationwide Ceasefire Agreement anniversary. A CNF spokesperson, Salai Htet Ni, said working under the NCA framework was no longer practical.

    Burma News International
  12. KIO/KIA rejected the military's offer of peace talks, Myanmar Now reported. The group said the offer comes as the regime increases its military presence in Kachin State and would have no impact on the situation on the ground.

    Myanmar Now
  13. Sittwe

    The Arakan Army captured as many as nine military outposts in Amyint Kyun and Yaychanpyin villages near Sittwe as fighting spread to Yaychanpyin, a military source said, according to Development Media Group. The source said continuing airstrikes and heavy artillery shelling made full control on the ground difficult.

    Development Media Group
  14. Sittwe Township

    Local sources told Development Media Group that the Arakan Army had captured multiple military outposts near Amyint Kyun and Pardaleik villages in Sittwe Township after crossing the Minchaung Bridge in early October. They said troops still held the police station and monastery inside Amyint Kyun.

    Development Media Group
  15. Bhamo

    Military troops set fire to a Kachin Baptist Convention church and surrounding homes in downtown Bhamo, Kachin State, at about 3:30 p.m. on 12 October, local sources told Network Media Group. A local source said it was not known how many houses were destroyed.

    Burma News International
  16. Ngapyi Island

    Heavy fighting continued on Ngapyi Island near Sittwe, where the military has tried amphibious landings since 7 October, Development Media Group reported. According to local sources, the military had a foothold in parts of the island and the Arakan Army was reinforcing to counterattack.

    Development Media Group
  17. Seik Khun Village

    An aerial bombing of Mahasi Monastery in Seik Khun Village, Shwebo Township, Sagaing Region, on 11 October reportedly killed two displaced people who were sheltering there and injured many others, the Assistance Association for Political Prisoners said. The meditation center was also damaged.

    Assistance Association for Political Prisoners (AAPP)
  18. Indaw Township

    A military drone strike on Nat Yay Twin Village in Indaw Township, Sagaing Region, killed a 10-year-old child on 11 October, according to local reports cited by Development Media Group. Fighting in Indaw has continued since a military offensive began on 5 October.

    Development Media Group
  19. Pauktaw Township

    Myanmar Air Force airstrikes on Sin Ein village in Pauktaw Township, Arakan State, killed at least seven civilians and injured 17, DVB reported; a humanitarian aid worker in Arakan Army territory said five civilian deaths were confirmed. Residents said fighting between the AA and regime forces was taking place along the road to Pauktaw.

    DVB
  20. Ngapyi Island

    The military deployed at least six warships from its Shwe Min Gan naval base in Sittwe in amphibious assaults on Ngapyi Island, held by the Arakan Army; AA artillery hit one warship, which caught fire and retreated, local military sources told Burma News International. Casualty figures were unconfirmed.

    Burma News International
  21. Hpakant

    Drone-dropped munitions from a coalition led by the Kachin Independence Army struck a combined government office in Hpakant, Kachin State, during a meeting of officials, civil society representatives and mining company executives, killing at least one person, according to local sources cited by Burma News International.

    Burma News International
  22. Taungup

    Military jets bombed the former Military Operations Command 5 headquarters and former battalion bases near Taungup town, Rakhine State, for about an hour; two residents died of cardiac arrest and another was wounded by shrapnel, local residents and sources told the Development Media Group.

    Development Media Group
  23. Kyunhla township

    Military jets bombed gold-mining rafts worked mainly by displaced people in the Thahpanseik reservoir in Kyunhla township, Sagaing Region, killing at least 10 people, according to local sources cited by Burma News International; a resident said search teams had not recovered several bodies.

    Burma News International
  24. Ponnagyun township

    A military air strike on a camp for displaced people in Ponnagyun township, Rakhine State, killed two civilians and injured two, the Arakan Army and the Ponnagyun Youth Association said, a day after strikes on another camp in the township.

    DVB
  25. ISP-Myanmar said in an analysis that the military had deployed around 2,000 troops in a multi-front offensive against the Arakan Army since early September but had so far failed to regain territory, the Development Media Group reported.

    Development Media Group
  26. Hpakant township

    Fighting resumed in Hpakant township, Kachin State, when military troops advanced towards jade trading hubs near Kuday and Hmawsisar and exchanged fire with the Kachin Independence Army; artillery fire on a jade trading site killed one civilian and injured another, residents said.

    Burma News International
  27. Ponnagyun

    Two air strikes by the Myanmar military on a camp for displaced people in Ponnagyun township, Rakhine State, which the Arakan Army has held since March 2024, killed at least six residents and injured seven, DVB reported.

    DVB
  28. Chaung-U

    Military air strikes on Chaung-U, Sagaing Region, killed at least two residents of a camp for displaced people, DVB reported.

    DVB
  29. Momeik, Bhamo

    Kachin Independence Army-led forces overran a military camp on Shwemyintin Pagoda Hill in Momeik (Mongmit) township, northern Shan State, as fighting continued in five Kachin State townships, including Bhamo.

    Burma News International
  30. Kyauktaw

    A military air strike on a market in Kyauktaw township, Rakhine State, reportedly killed at least 50 people and injured at least 58. The UN Secretary-General condemned it and called for those responsible to be held to account.

    UN News
  31. A delegation of the Myanmar National Democratic Alliance Army began its first talks with the military's peace committee in Naypyitaw, after a Ta'ang National Liberation Army delegation held talks there in July.

    Burma News International
  32. Sittwe, Kyaukphyu, Thandwe

    The military began a counteroffensive against the Arakan Army in Rakhine State's Sittwe, Kyaukphyu and Thandwe townships; DVB reported more than 5,000 residents displaced in Kyaukphyu.

    DVB
  33. Myaung

    A military air strike on a Buddhist monastery hosting a religious retreat in Myaung township, Sagaing Region, killed 14 people and injured 20, according to a local opposition group and a resident.

    Al Jazeera (with AP)
  34. Mawtaung

    State media said the army retook Mawtaung, a trading town on the Thai border held by the Karen National Union and allied groups, and the next day Tonzang in Chin State. The claims could not be independently confirmed.

    Associated Press via WSLS
  35. President Min Aung Hlaing invited ethnic armed organisations to join peace talks within 100 days and urged the People's Defence Forces to surrender.

    The Irrawaddy (Wayback Machine copy)
  36. Parliament elected Min Aung Hlaing, the military chief who led the 2021 coup, as president with 429 of the 584 votes cast.

    Al Jazeera
  37. The final phase of the military-organised general election was held; the results gave the military-backed Union Solidarity and Development Party 339 of the 420 elective seats contested.

    Xinhua

The new developments in this war, the morning after they enter the record, by email or as a feed: Blackwing Desk.

Parties

  • Myanmar armed forces

    The military that took power in the February 2021 coup and is the state party to the fighting. Since April 2026 the state has been headed by its former commander, Min Aung Hlaing, as president of a military-backed government; he handed command of the armed forces to Ye Win Oo in March.

  • People's Defence Force and allied resistance groupsnon-state armed group

    Armed resistance forces formed after the coup, operating across much of the country.

  • Ethnic armed organisationscoalition

    Long-standing armed organisations in border regions, several of which have fought the state for decades and some of which are now allied with post-coup resistance forces. In 2026 some, including the MNDAA and the TNLA, held talks with the military, while others, including the Arakan Army, fight on.

Killed

at least13k–38kDocumented

Direct deaths from organised violence recorded by UCDP in 6,732 individually sourced incidents since 1 Feb 2021: a best estimate of 14,270, 9,104 of them coded as civilian. The range is UCDP's own low and high bounds per incident, summed. UCDP's count excludes indirect deaths from disease, starvation and collapsed health care, and any violence that never reached a sourceable report, so it is a documented floor rather than a total. Roughly 1,443 of these deaths come from UCDP's provisional candidate releases and may be revised. As of .

SourceFigure
UCDP Georeferenced Event Dataset (Uppsala University)

6,732 recorded incidents. UCDP publishes a low, best and high bound for every incident; this is the sum of each.

13,720–38,189 (best estimate 14,270)As of
Assistance Association for Political Prisoners (AAPP)

Pro-democracy activists and civilians killed by the military and its allied groups since the 1 February 2021 coup, counted by name by a Burmese rights group. One side's killings only, so it is not a war total and is not added to UCDP's count.

8,662 killed by the junta and pro-military groupsAs of

Displaced

5.2MEstimated

People forcibly displaced from Myanmar at the end of 2025, as UNHCR counts them: 3,628,840 displaced inside the country and 1,592,202 refugees and asylum-seekers abroad. UNHCR does not record why each person fled, so this counts displacement by every conflict and persecution in Myanmar, not only by the fighting this record follows, and anyone who has gone home is no longer in it. Of the refugees abroad, 1,178,003 are in Bangladesh, where the government and UNHCR count 1,204,492 Rohingya refugees (31 August 2026), most of them from a large-scale influx in 2017, before this war began. As of .

SourceFigure
UNHCR Refugee Data Finder

UNHCR's official population statistics. Licensed CC BY 4.0.

3,628,840 internally displaced; 1,592,202 refugees and asylum-seekersAs of
UNHCR Operational Data Portal, Bangladesh

Government of Bangladesh and UNHCR figures; one of the largest protracted refugee situations in the world, following the influx in 2017.

1,204,492 Rohingya refugees in Bangladesh (1,170,978 in Cox's Bazar, 33,514 on Bhasan Char)As of

Briefings

  • How Many Wars Are Going On Right Now? The 2026 Count

    Every published count of the world's wars side by side, from the research count that found more armed conflicts in 2025 than in any year since 1946 to legal counts past 130: what each one measures, and the wars behind the numbers.

Standing sources

  • UCDP Georeferenced Event Dataset

    Individually geocoded, dated and sourced incidents of organised violence worldwide, each with a low, best and high fatality bound.CC BY 4.0

  • Geneva Academy War Watch

    Formal international-humanitarian-law classification of each situation, and the neutral naming of the parties.

  • UNHCR Refugee Data Finder

    Official refugee, asylum-seeker and internally displaced population statistics.CC BY 4.0

Other wars in the record

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