Active · Africa
Somalia insurgency
Killed
Verified
at least20k–25kDocumented
Counted from to . The published count and what it counts
Latest development ·
Dozens of Hawadle soldiers of the Somali National Army arrived at the Beledweyne residence of clan leader Ugas Yusuf Ugas Hassan after he called on Hawadle servicemen to leave their frontline posts, Somali Guardian reported, citing social media footage.
- Status
- Active
- Sustained hostilities in the current reporting period.
- Began
- 2006
- Ongoing
- Displaced
- 4.5M
- Estimated, as of 31 Dec 2025
- Classification
- NIAC
- A non-international armed conflict between the federal government, supported by an African Union mission and foreign air support, and jihadist armed groups.
The Somali federal government, supported by an African Union mission and by foreign air strikes, continues to fight al-Shabaab, which holds territory across the south and centre of the country. A smaller Islamic State affiliate operates in Puntland. Unusually for the conflicts in this record, the large majority of recorded deaths are coded as combatants rather than civilians. Since March 2026, when parliament extended the federal terms of office and delayed elections, federal forces have also fought opposition and regional forces, in Baidoa and in Mogadishu, and in October they lost towns in Gedo to Jubaland forces and every major town in the Bay region except Baidoa to fighters loyal to the ousted South West State president.
Recorded deaths per month
667 deaths recorded from Jul to Sep 2026, the latest months UCDP has coded, against 1,022 from Apr to Jun 2026.
Oct 2024Sep 2026
UCDP counts direct deaths in incidents it codes under its own definitions, so these months are a documented floor.
Latest developments
Dozens of Hawadle soldiers of the Somali National Army arrived at the Beledweyne residence of clan leader Ugas Yusuf Ugas Hassan after he called on Hawadle servicemen to leave their frontline posts, Somali Guardian reported, citing social media footage.
Somali GuardianSomalia's Supreme Court declared null and void the constitutional amendments extending presidential and parliamentary terms, ruled that the president's administration is limited to caretaker functions, and ordered elections within 90 days, the Somali Guardian reported. President Hassan Sheikh Mohamud had dismissed the chief justice a day earlier.
Somali GuardianBarawe
Uganda's military said it handed security responsibility for Barawe and Shalanbood in southern Somalia to the Somali National Army, ending more than a decade of Ugandan presence there, Somali Guardian reported.
Somali GuardianBeledweyne
Hawadle clan fighters took control of Beledweyne, the capital of Hiran region, over the weekend, including the provincial headquarters and other government offices, Somali Guardian reported, citing Caasimada Online. About 2,000 armed clan fighters are in the town as Hawadle political figures plan an administration separate from Mogadishu.
Somali GuardianThe United Nations Transitional Assistance Mission in Somalia (UNTMIS) ceased operations on Saturday, ending more than three decades of UN missions in the country at the request of the Somali government. The UN said its agencies, funds and programmes will keep working in Somalia.
Somali GuardianA chartered aircraft carrying 109 Ugandan soldiers, the first contingent to leave, took off from Mogadishu airport on Friday, Somali Guardian reported. Army chief General Muhoozi Kainerugaba had announced on Thursday that Uganda had begun withdrawing. President Yoweri Museveni told Somali President Hassan Sheikh Mohamud he would withdraw part of his forces before 15 November.
Somali GuardianBaidoa
Heavy fighting erupted on the outskirts of Baidoa between the Somali National Army and forces loyal to Abdiaziz Laftagareen, the former president of Southwest State, near Burjed. A Laftagareen faction official said army units travelling toward Burhakabo had been ambushed and the group said it killed dozens of soldiers; neither claim was independently confirmed.
Somali GuardianLeego
Al-Shabaab attacked a military convoy carrying supplies between the towns of Leego and Burhakaba, in the Bay region, setting off an hours-long battle, Somalia's Defense Ministry said. It said the militants drove an explosives-laden vehicle toward an army position. The ministry's casualty figures could not be independently verified.
Anadolu Agency
20 earlier, back to 4 Mar 2026
Buurhakaba
Federal forces advancing on Buurhakaba, held by forces loyal to Laftagareen, suffered heavy casualties in fighting between Leego and Jameecada, Garowe Online reported, citing reports that numerous soldiers were killed and 36 military vehicles, including six Turkish-made Kirpi armoured vehicles, were lost.
Garowe OnlineBurhakabo
Somalia's federal government sent more than 200 military vehicles toward Burhakabo on Saturday, after forces loyal to former Southwest president Abdiasis Laftagaren seized the town last week, Somali Guardian reported. The government had not commented. Local media said at least three military vehicles were destroyed in roadside bomb attacks between Wanlawayn and Afgoye this week.
Somali GuardianAn alleged Turkish drone strike on Wednesday night killed two members of Laftagaren's forces on a motorcycle, local media reported, according to Somali Guardian. Hassan Abdulkadir, a former Southwest internal security minister and key figure behind those forces, escaped unharmed. It was unclear whether he was the target.
Somali GuardianDinsor, Berdale, Awdinle
Forces of the ousted Southwest leader Abdiasis Laftagaren also seized Dinsor, Berdale and Awdinle towns on Thursday and Friday, Somali Guardian reported, leaving Baidoa as the only town in Bay region still under the federal government.
Somali GuardianBurhakabo
Forces loyal to the former Southwest State president, Abdiasis Laftagaren, seized Burhakabo, on the road between Mogadishu and Baidoa, after a brief gunfight, Somali Guardian reported. They displayed dozens of captured federal troops. The federal government had not commented.
Somali GuardianMogadishu
Defence Minister Ahmed Moalim Fiqi said on Tuesday that authorities had removed 260 armed men from opposition leaders' homes in Mogadishu and held them in custody. He accused the United Arab Emirates of arming opposition leaders and alleged that forces linked to Puntland and Jubaland had been brought to Mogadishu.
Somali GuardianSomalia's national anti-money-laundering committee added 10 people, including former South West State president Abdiaziz Hassan Mohamed Laftagareen, to a financial sanctions list over suspected links to Al-Shabaab, requiring assets to be frozen. The published decision did not detail the evidence against each person.
Garowe OnlineMogadishu
Large numbers of government forces, with military trucks and armoured vehicles, deployed around the residences of former President Sharif Sheikh Ahmed and former Prime Minister Hassan Ali Khaire near Mogadishu airport, as local media reported that President Hassan Sheikh Mohamud intended to disarm opposition leaders, Somali Guardian reported.
Somali GuardianHiran
Al-Shabaab fighters captured Hees, in the central Hiran region near Mataban, after a brief battle with the Somali National Army, cutting a supply road for government troops in the area, Somali Guardian reported.
Somali GuardianQansah-dhere
Forces loyal to Abdiasis Laftagaren, the former Southwest leader, took Qansah-dhere in the Bay region, 90 kilometers west of Baidoa, without a gunfight, local media reported. It was the first town to pass fully out of federal control since the federal offensive that removed him from power in late March.
Somali GuardianAl-Shabaab said it had signed an agreement with the Hawadle clan to end a four-year conflict in the Hiran region, where the clan had fought it alongside federal troops; the government had not responded.
Somali GuardianJilib District
The National Intelligence and Security Agency said it had killed Bashir Ahmed Haji Nunow, whom it called a former leader of al-Shabaab's Amniyaat assassination unit, in an overnight operation with international partners in Jilib District, state news agency SONNA reported.
SONNA (Somali National News Agency)Bloomberg reported that Ethiopia planned to withdraw more than 3,000 troops from Somalia as fighting escalated at home; a Somali defence ministry official said Mogadishu had not been informed.
Somali GuardianBaidoa
The office of the former South West State president accused the federal government and Turkey of air strikes on Baidoa that it said killed civilians, including four children; the claims could not be independently verified.
Somali GuardianBaidoa
Fighters loyal to the former South West State president entered Baidoa and the army drove them out, an army commander said, as fighter jets and drones were reported over the city; MSF said three people died, including a health worker.
Al Jazeera and AFPBaidoa
Forces allied with the former South West State president clashed with the army in Baidoa for the second time in under a month; the government accused them of joining forces with al-Shabaab, which their spokespeople rejected.
ACLEDMogadishu
Heavy fighting broke out in Mogadishu between government and opposition forces near the homes of a former prime minister and a former president, ahead of protests against the president's term extension.
Al JazeeraJilib, Xagar, Afmadow
The Defence Ministry said the army, with Jubbaland forces and air strikes by international partners, killed 27 al-Shabaab fighters in Jilib, Xagar and Afmadow districts.
Al JazeeraBaidoa
Federal troops and allied fighters took control of Baidoa, capital of South West State, and the state's president, an opponent of the constitutional changes, resigned and left for Kenya.
Somalia TodayParliament amended the constitution to extend presidential and parliamentary terms from four to five years, delaying elections planned for May 2026; opposition leaders rejected the change.
Asharq Al-Awsat
The new developments in this war, the morning after they enter the record, by email or as a feed: Blackwing Desk.
Parties
The federal government and its armed forces.
Al-Shabaabnon-state armed group
Al-Qaeda-affiliated armed group holding territory in southern and central Somalia.
African Union Support and Stabilization Mission (AUSSOM)international body
The African Union force supporting the federal government since January 2025, successor to ATMIS and AMISOM. Uganda, which has troops in Somalia under it and under a separate bilateral agreement, began withdrawing them in late October.
Killed
Direct deaths from organised violence recorded by UCDP in 2,218 individually sourced incidents since 1 Jan 2020: a best estimate of 21,109, 1,492 of them coded as civilian. The range is UCDP's own low and high bounds per incident, summed. UCDP's count excludes indirect deaths from disease, starvation and collapsed health care, and any violence that never reached a sourceable report, so it is a documented floor rather than a total. Roughly 3,080 of these deaths come from UCDP's provisional candidate releases and may be revised. As of .
| Source | Figure | As of |
|---|---|---|
| UCDP Georeferenced Event Dataset (Uppsala University) 2,218 recorded incidents. UCDP publishes a low, best and high bound for every incident; this is the sum of each. | 20,888–24,871 (best estimate 21,109)As of |
Displaced
People forcibly displaced from Somalia at the end of 2025, as UNHCR counts them: 3,347,408 displaced inside the country and 1,128,308 refugees and asylum-seekers abroad. UNHCR does not record why each person fled, so this counts displacement by every conflict and persecution in Somalia, not only by the fighting this record follows, and anyone who has gone home is no longer in it. As of .
| Source | Figure | As of |
|---|---|---|
| UNHCR Refugee Data Finder UNHCR's official population statistics. Licensed CC BY 4.0. | 3,347,408 internally displaced; 1,128,308 refugees and asylum-seekersAs of |
Briefings
- How Many Wars Are Going On Right Now? The 2026 Count
Every published count of the world's wars side by side, from the research count that found more armed conflicts in 2025 than in any year since 1946 to legal counts past 130: what each one measures, and the wars behind the numbers.
Standing sources
- UCDP Georeferenced Event Dataset
Individually geocoded, dated and sourced incidents of organised violence worldwide, each with a low, best and high fatality bound.CC BY 4.0
- Geneva Academy War Watch
Formal international-humanitarian-law classification of each situation, and the neutral naming of the parties.
- UNHCR Refugee Data Finder
Official refugee, asylum-seeker and internally displaced population statistics.CC BY 4.0
- Geneva Academy War Watch: Somalia
The start date: the non-international armed conflict between the Somali armed forces and al-Shabaab has run since at least 2006.
Other wars in the record
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- Armed conflicts in EthiopiaActive · Africaat least328k–383k
- Central Sahel insurgencyActive · Africaat least40k–56k
- Sudan civil warActive · Africaat least45k–125k
- Armed conflicts in the eastern Democratic Republic of the CongoActive · Africaat least32k–66k
- Russia-Ukraine warActive · Europeat least375k–645k
- Yemen civil warActive · Middle Eastat least33k–69k
- Armed conflicts in PakistanActive · Asiaat least10k–16k
- Myanmar civil warActive · Asiaat least13k–38k
- Haiti gang conflictActive · Americasat least5,915
- Armed conflicts in SyriaActive · Middle Eastat least18k–21k
- Iran-United States war of 2026Active · Middle Eastdisputed3,468–7,650
- Armed conflicts in LebanonCeasefire · Middle Eastat least9,053–9,984
- Israel and the Palestinian territoriesCeasefire · Middle Eastdisputed63k–75k
- Iran-Israel war of June 2025Concluded · Middle Eastdisputed1,090–1,218
Last verified